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Montreal
Canadiens (1) vs Boston Bruins (8) |
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PREVIEW
MON: 47-25-10-104
BOS: 41-29-12-94
Head to Head: 8-0 MON (0-7-1 BOS)
MONTREAL:
They’re ecstatic in Montreal because
the Habs are, as Duck Coach Randy Carlyle says, “A very well
structured team.” The East’s best-built club, they’ll try to
roll through the competition with rookie Carey Price in net,
echoing championships past, courtesy rookie netminders Ken
Dryden (1971) and Patrick Roy (1986).
In recent years, fingers have been
pointed at Russians when examining Les Habitants’ playoff
failings. Sergei Samsonov was run out of town after a brutal
tenure, and star Alex Kovalev endeared himself to no one.
What a difference a year makes! Alex Kovalev is the NHL’s
comeback player of the year with 35 goals for 84 points. Two
Belorusan brothers, second year pro Andrei Kostitsyn (26 goals),
and rookie Sergei (9).
Saku Koivu’s injury represents a big
loss, and Michael Ryder had a forgettable season (70GP;
14-17-31), but Koivu could return at some point in the first
round, and if there’s a time for Ryder to shine, it’s in a
tightly-drawn playoff series. Chris Higgins managed 27 goals
for a career best.
Sheldon Souray who? Speaking of “what
a difference a year makes,” the club watched Mark Streit pot
13 goals from the blueline, while Andrei Markov moved his
game to Norris trophy-level, and added 16 goals. Roman
Hamrlik is a physical force.
BOSTON:
Claude Julien deserves the Jack Adams
for his work this year, resurrecting this Original Six
franchise. He did it without Patrice Bergeron, who may
return this postseason after a devastating concussion.
Zdeno Chara could be a Norris
contender this season after managing 17 goals (up from 11
last year) and continuing to be a dominant player. Nine of
his goals came on the power play, and one was a shortie.
Only Marco Sturm, with 27, and Chuck
Kobasew, with 22, scored more than 20 goals for the club,
but Marc Savard was exceptional again, with 63 assists. The
team is a bit small up front, and it will be a tough go for
Bruin forwards in this series. Glen Murray may be at the end
of the line.
Like Julien, goalie Tim Thomas saved
the club’s bacon when Manny Fernandez checked out due to
injury, and finished with a .929SV%.
PREDICTION:
Sweep! Canadiens, from top six, to
checking line on down, is the best-built team in the East
and Hockeytalk loves Gainey’s gamble with Price, who won
championships at the World Juniors and in the AHL before
joining the Habs.
Montreal in 4.
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Pittsburgh Penguins (2) vs
Ottawa Senators (7) |
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PIT: 47-27-8-102
OTT: 43-31-8-94
Head to Head: 3-0-1 OTT (1-3 PIT)
PITTSBURGH:
Some wonder whether Evgeni Malkin and
Sid Crosby should be split, full-time, and there’s no time
like the present. The club is chock full of offensive
threats, Petr Sykora and Marian Hossa rounding out a top six
as good as any other. Only Detroit, Philly and Montreal were
better on the power play. Jordan Staal, who slipped to 12
goals this year, is just the depth charge who could upstage
such Penguin luminaries as those mentioned above with some
big goals at key times. The time may be right for Staal.
Sergei Gonchar’s resurgence (12-53-65)
tops a swift but not too physical Pittsburgh defense. In
net, Ty Conklin could unseat Marc-Andre Fleury, and quickly,
if Fleury falters. Michel Therrien owes neither allegiance,
since neither have a proven playoff track record.
After last year’s playoff loss to the
Sens, the Penguins redoubled their efforts to taking the
next step to Cup contention. The tables are now turned, as
they finished second in the conference, with home ice
advantage, which will be huge.
OTTAWA:
Daniel Alfredsson and Mike Fisher are
out, which amounts to a subtraction of 63 regular season
goals. Goalie Ray Emery was nothing but trouble, Coach John
Paddock was fired and now, the club hopes that Martin Gerber
(2.72GAA) will be stellar in net. No one’s picking the
Senators to do much.
That’s why I think that the Senators
might be set to upset the Pens.
The pressure’s off, in a lot of ways,
for the Canadian darlings. Les Canadiens represent the
country’s hockey hope, even more so than Calgary. The club
still has Jason Spezza and Dany Heatley, and in some weird
way, this team with the weirdest regular season has a shot.
On defense, Wade Redden refused to
waive his no-trade clause and is under pressure to prove
that he was worth keeping. Mike Commodore has been a -9
since joining the Sens. Defensively, only six teams allowed
more goals than the Sens (247), and none of those teams are
in the playoffs.
PREDICTION:
Too much offensive mojo this
postseason in Pittsburgh, who are champing at the bit to get
revenge from the Senators for last year’s defeat.
Penguins in 6.
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Washington Capitals (3) vs
Philadelphia Flyers (6) |
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WAS: 43-31-8-94
PHI: 42-29-11-95
Head to Head: 2-2 WSH (2-1-1
PHI)
WASHINGTON:
Smashing success since Bruce Boudreau
became coach and unleashed the offensive giant lurking
beneath the Glen Hanlon Capitals. GM George McPhee was also
a smash at the trade deadline, picking up Sergei Fedorov,
who, during his brief tenure with the club, has reminded
folks of his greatest days with the Wings.
Fedorov is bringing along Alexander
Semin, and importantly for the team, he can speak to Semin
in his native tongue. What’s more, he’s older than Ovechkin
and is a bona fide Russian legend in his own right, with
three Cup rings. Semin has responded, and Fedorov’s
defensive abilities are welcome in the postseason (remember
that Fedorov won the Selke and also played defense for
Scotty Bowman’s Wings).
Matt Cooke, a Vancouver castoff at the
deadline, managed a shorthanded tally to go with two more,
all from a checking role. Also a welcome addition for the
Caps. On defense, Brendan Witt brings the mustard and Mike
Green scored 18 goals, more than any NHL defenseman.
But the most welcome addition of all
was goalie Cristobal Huet, who came over from the Canadiens.
In 13 games with the Caps, he’s won eleven, and tallied a
1.63 goals against average, with a .936 save percentage. If
the Caps meet his former club in the playoffs, it’ll be the
stuff of legend. First, though, Huet is a good candidate for
stumping the Flyers.
PHILADELPHIA:
Seven players with more than 20 goals,
including two with more than 30. GM Paul Holmgren went for
some big-ticket upgrades last summer and got good bang for
his buck on offense. Daniel Briere’s 31 relieved the
pressure of his huge new contract. Mike Richards signed
another whopper of a deal, and delivered on his promise,
too, potting 28 goals for 75 points.
The Flyers are a club caught between
the memory of a brutal 2006-07 and a future including big
talent with big contracts. How will they respond in the
playoffs with all of these new faces?
Sounds obvious, but Flyer confidence
will start in net, where Martin Biron will see his first
playoff action ever.
The Flyers made headlines with a bunch
of suspensions to various players, like Steve Downie and
Randy Jones. The league disciplined the club collectively,
which showed how serious the league was regarding the club’s
tactics. In the playoffs, any hotheaded play by Philly will
prove to be their undoing, and quickly.
Braydon Coburn, who came over from
Atlanta in the Alex Zhitnik deal, could be a major player in
this series. He’s young, quick, big, and the time is right
for him to make his mark on a big stage.
PREDICTION:
Capitals have the spirit, and home ice
advantage. They’ve been tremendous since the trade deadline,
and a series win could cap a very satisfying season in DC,
which, thanks to Alex Ovechkin’s 65 goals, a new record for
a left wing, is paying attention to the Capitals for the
first time in years.
Washington in 6.
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New Jersey Devils (4) vs New York Rangers (5)
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NJD: 45-29-7-99
NYR: 42-27-13-97 pts
Head to Head: 7-0-1 NYR (1-4-3
NJD)
NEW JERSEY:
The Devils have the home ice advantage
and the defense, but some things never change in Devil-land:
Goals were hard to come by this season, as the club scored
fewer goals for than all but five clubs.
That said, Zach Parise had 32 goals,
and John Madden, Brian Gionta and Patrik Elias all cracked
20. Encouragingly, Travis Zajac, Dainus Zubrus and Jamie
Langenbrunner scored in the teens—not great, but not
terrible—and can be counted on for tough goals.
On defense, they have a purely
defensive set with Colin White, Johnny Oduya and Paul
Martin. As always, though, Martin Brodeur is the franchise,
and had another stellar year, likely another Vezina win (if
Giguere doesn’t get it). 2.17GAA; .920 and 44 wins.
It says here that the Rangers will not
have trouble keeping the puck out of the net, so it’s on the
Devils like never before to generate some offense from the
forward ranks.
NEW YORK:
And now, the payoff from the Chris
Drury deal.
With seven game winners (44 in his
career), 12 power play goals and 220 shots this season,
Chris Drury is primed to earn his fat paycheck this
postseason. He’s never disappointed, not with the Avs,
Sabres nor Flames.
Jaromir Jagr and Brendan Shanahan
should be dependable, but will they stand up to the rigors
of the postseason at their advanced ages?
Christian Backman, acquired from St.
Louis at the deadline, is a solid presence for an unheralded
defense. Rookie Marc Staal should, but won’t, be a Calder
nominee this year. It’s time for the New York D to prove
that the fact that only four clubs allowed fewer goals was
due not only to Henrik Lundqvist.
Lundqvist, 2.23GAA; .912SV%, 37 wins,
availed himself well last postseason, and should give the
Rangers a suitable foil for the Great Brodeur.
PREDICTION:
Rangers primed to win big series with
cross-river rival. Too many goals on the New York side; they
should be able to crack Brodeur. Just need to throw a lot of
shots on net and take an extra ten-to-twenty shots per game,
to get that extra tough playoff goal.
Rangers in 6.
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